Finance

Inflation

Inflation is the general rise in prices over time, which reduces purchasing power. Inflation is why real return can differ from nominal return.

Updated 2026-01-23

Definition

Inflation is the general rise in prices over time, which reduces purchasing power. Inflation is why real return can differ from nominal return.

Example

If prices rise 3% per year, a $100 basket costs about $103 next year.

How to use it

  • Inflation affects costs, pricing power, and real returns.
  • Even low inflation compounds into large real differences over time.
  • Use consistent inflation assumptions across scenarios.
  • Separate short-term price spikes from long-term inflation assumptions.
  • Adjust multi-year forecasts to keep comparisons in real terms.

Common mistakes

  • Assuming inflation is zero in long-term planning.
  • Mixing nominal and real rates in the same model.
  • Using national inflation rates for local cost structures without adjustment.
  • Forgetting that wage inflation can differ from overall CPI.

Measured as

Measure Inflation with the same date, unit basis, and accounting or policy definitions used in the rest of your model.

Misused when

  • Assuming inflation is zero in long-term planning.
  • Mixing nominal and real rates in the same model.
  • Using national inflation rates for local cost structures without adjustment.
  • Forgetting that wage inflation can differ from overall CPI.

Operator takeaway

  • Inflation affects costs, pricing power, and real returns.
  • Even low inflation compounds into large real differences over time.
  • Use consistent inflation assumptions across scenarios.
  • Tie Inflation to the same balance-sheet date, scenario, and decision memo you are using elsewhere in the model.
  • Document which claims, costs, or adjustments your team includes before comparing numbers across forecasts, covenants, or valuation work.

Next decision

  • Quantify the impact with Real Return (Inflation-adjusted) Calculator if you need to turn the definition into an operating assumption.
  • Read Real vs nominal return: inflation-adjusted performance if the decision depends on interpretation, policy, or trade-offs beyond the raw formula.

Where to use this on MetricKit

Calculators

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