CVR is a post-click constraint
Break-even CVR tells you how strong your click-to-conversion rate must be to justify a given CPM and CTR given your AOV and margin. It is the post-click constraint on profitability.
Core relationship
Break-even CVR = CPM / (1000 * CTR * AOV * margin).
Post-click diagnosis checklist
- Message match: headline and first screen mirror the ad promise.
- Friction: minimize fields, steps, and distractions before the CTA.
- Speed: optimize LCP and interactivity for mobile first.
- Trust: show reviews, guarantees, and pricing clarity early.
Offer and intent alignment
- Clarify who the offer is for and the primary outcome.
- Use the same promise across ad, page, and form.
- Add a risk-reversal element if trust is a blocker.
Measurement hygiene
- Define CVR on the same unit as CTR (clicks vs sessions).
- Separate mobile and desktop performance before changing the page.
- Use holdouts or incrementality checks if retargeting is heavy.
Common mistakes
- Using CVR defined on sessions while CTR is defined on clicks (unit mismatch).
- Ignoring refunds/returns and using gross margin that is too optimistic.
- Comparing across placements without controlling for intent (retargeting vs prospecting).