Investment decision metrics: NPV vs IRR vs payback vs PI

A practical guide to investment decision metrics: when to use NPV, when IRR misleads, and how payback and profitability index fit in.

Updated 2026-01-28

Try it in a calculator

What each metric is optimizing

  • NPV: value created in dollars at a chosen required return.
  • IRR: implied return rate (can be undefined or misleading for some cash flows).
  • Payback: how quickly you get cash back (often used as a risk constraint).
  • Profitability index (PI): value per dollar invested (useful when capital is constrained).

Common traps

  • Using IRR for mutually exclusive projects of different scale (NPV is better).
  • Ignoring time value by using simple payback only.
  • Using a single discount rate without scenario analysis.

Practical decision flow

  • Start with NPV at your MARR.
  • Use payback as a constraint if runway/risk matters.
  • Use IRR for intuition and comparison, but validate with NPV.
  • Use PI when you have limited capital and many opportunities.

FAQ

If NPV is positive, should I always do the project-
Not always. Consider risk, capacity, strategic fit, and opportunity cost. Many teams require both positive NPV and payback within a threshold.
What's a good MARR-
It depends on risk and alternatives. Some teams use WACC for mature businesses and higher hurdle rates for risky projects. Consistency matters more than precision.

More in finance

Interest expense: definition, formula, and how to calculate
IRR (Internal Rate of Return): definition, formula, and how to use it